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'''Liquefied natural gas''' or '''LNG''' is [[natural gas]] (predominantly [[methane]], CH<sub>4</sub>) that has been converted into liquid form for ease of transport and storage. More simply put, it is the liquid form of the natural gas that people use in their homes for cooking and for heating,
__NOTOC__
[[File:Crude oil-fired power plant.jpg|thumb|right|225px|Industrial air pollution source]]
Atmospheric dispersion modeling is the mathematical simulation of how air pollutants disperse in the ambient atmosphere. It is performed with computer programs that solve the mathematical equations and algorithms which simulate the pollutant dispersion. The dispersion models are used to estimate or to predict the downwind concentration of air pollutants emitted from sources such as industrial plants, vehicular traffic or accidental chemical releases.


A typical raw natural gas contains only about 80% methane and a number of higher boiling [[hydrocarbons]] as well as a number of impurities. Before it is liquefied, it  is typically purified so as to remove the higher-boiling hydrocarbons and the impurities. The resultant liquefied natural gas contains about 95% or more methane and it is a 
Such models are important to governmental agencies tasked with protecting and managing the ambient air quality. The models are typically employed to determine whether existing or proposed new industrial facilities are or will be in compliance with the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) in the United States or similar regulations in other nations. The models also serve to assist in the design of effective control strategies to reduce emissions of harmful air pollutants. During the late 1960's, the Air Pollution Control Office of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) initiated research projects to develop models for use by urban and transportation planners.<ref>J.C. Fensterstock et al, "Reduction of air pollution potential through environmental planning", ''JAPCA'', Vol. 21, No. 7, 1971.</ref>
clear, colorless and essentially odorless liquid which is neither corrosive nor toxic.<ref name=CalifEnergyCommission>[http://www.energy,ca.gov./faq.html Frequently Asked Questions About LNG] From the website of the [[California Energy Commission]]</ref><ref name=CEE>[http://www.beg.utexas.edu/energyecon/lng/LNG_introduction.php Introduction To LNG] Michelle Michot Foss (January 2007), Center for Energy Economics (CEE), Bureau of Economic Geology, Jackson School of Geosciences, University of Texas</ref>


LNG occupies only a very small fraction (1/600th) of the volume of natural gas and is therefore more economical to transport across large distances. It can also be stored in large quantities that would be impractical for storage as a gas.<ref name=CalifEnergyCommission>[http://www.energy,ca.gov./faq.html Frequently Asked Questions About LNG] From the website of the [[California Energy Commission]]</ref><ref name=CEE>[http://www.beg.utexas.edu/energyecon/lng/LNG_introduction.php Introduction To LNG] Michelle Michot Foss (January 2007), Center for Energy Economics (CEE), Bureau of Economic Geology, Jackson School of Geosciences, University of Texas</ref>
Air dispersion models are also used by emergency management personnel to develop emergency plans for accidental chemical releases. The results of dispersion modeling, using worst case accidental releases and meteorological conditions, can provide estimated locations of impacted areas and be used to determine appropriate protective actions. At industrial facilities in the United States, this type of consequence assessment or emergency planning is required under the Clean Air Act (CAA) codified in Part 68 of Title 40 of the Code of Federal Regulations.


==Liquefaction plants for the production of LNG==
The dispersion models vary depending on the mathematics used to develop the model, but all require the input of data that may include:
{{Image|LNG block flow diagram.png|right|310px|Fig.1: Block flow diagram of the LNG liquefaction process. See [[Natural gas processing]] for more details.}}


The liquefaction process involves separating the raw natural gas from any associated water and high-boiling hydrocarbon liquids (referred to as [[natural gas condensate]]) that may be associated with the raw gas. The raw gas is then further purified in a [[natural gas processing]] plant  to remove remove impurities such as  the [[acid gas]]es hydrogen sulfide (H<sub>2</sub>S) and carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>), any residual water liquid or vapor, [[mercury]], [[nitrogen]] and [[helium]] which could cause difficulty downstream. ( See the block flow diagram of the liquefaction process in Fig.1)
* Meteorological conditions such as wind speed and direction, the amount of atmospheric turbulence (as characterized by what is called the "stability class"), the ambient air temperature, the height to the bottom of any inversion aloft that may be present, cloud cover and solar radiation.
* The emission parameters such the type of source (i.e., point, line or area), the mass flow rate, the source location and height, the source exit velocity, and the source exit temperature.
* Terrain elevations at the source location and at receptor locations, such as nearby homes, schools, businesses and hospitals.
* The location, height and width of any obstructions (such as buildings or other structures) in the path of the emitted gaseous plume as well as the terrain surface roughness (which may be characterized by the more generic parameters "rural" or "city" terrain).


The purified natural gas is next refrigerated and distilled to recover ethane (C<sub>2</sub>H<sub>6</sub>), propane (C<sub>3</sub>H<sub>8</sub>), butanes (C<sub>4</sub>H<sub>10</sub>) and any higher boiling hydrocarbons, collectively referred to as natural gas liquids (NGL). The natural gas is then [[condensation|condensed]] into a liquid at essentially [[atmospheric pressure]] by using further refrigeration to cool it to approximately -162 °C (260 °F).
Many of the modern, advanced dispersion modeling programs include a pre-processor module for the input of meteorological and other data, and many also include a post-processor module for graphing the output data and/or plotting the area impacted by the air pollutants on maps. The plots of areas impacted usually include isopleths showing areas of pollutant concentrations that define areas of the highest health risk. The isopleths plots are useful in determining protective actions for the public and first responders.


As mentioned above, the reduction in volume makes LNG much more cost efficient to transport over long distances where [[pipeline]]s do not exist. Where transporting natural gas by pipelines is not possible or economical, it can be transported by specially designed [[Cryogenics|cryogenic]] sea-going vessels called [[LNG carrier]]s or by either cryogenic rail or  road tankers.
The atmospheric dispersion models are also known as atmospheric diffusion models, air dispersion models, air quality models, and air pollution dispersion models.


==History==
==Atmospheric layers==


Natural gas liquefaction dates back to the 1820s when [[Great Britain|British]] physicist [[Michael Faraday]] experimented with liquefying different types of gases. [[Germany|German]] engineer [[Carl Von Linde]] built the first practical [[vapor-compression refrigeration]] system in the 1870s.
Discussion of the layers in the Earth's atmosphere is needed to understand where airborne pollutants disperse in the atmosphere. The layer closest to the Earth's surface is known as the ''troposphere''. It extends from sea-level up to a height of about 18 km and contains about 80 percent of the mass of the overall atmosphere. The ''stratosphere'' is the next layer and extends from 18 km up to about 50 km. The third layer is the ''mesosphere'' which extends from 50 km up to about 80 km. There are other layers above 80 km, but they are insignificant with respect to atmospheric dispersion modeling.


The first commercial LNG liquefaction plant was built in [[Cleveland, Ohio]], in 1941 and the LNG was stored in tanks at atmospheric pressure, which raised the possibility that LNG could be transported in sea-going vessels.  In January 1959, the world's first LNG carrier, a converted freighter named ''The Methane Pioneer'', containing five small, insulated aluminum tanks transported 5,000 m<sup>3</sup> (about 2,250 metric tons<ref name=MT>'''Note:''' 1 metric ton = 1 MT = 1 tonne = 1,000 kg = 2,204.6 pounds = 1.1023 short tons</ref>) of LNG from [[Lake Charles, Louisiana]] in the [[United States]]  to [[Canvey Island]] in [[England]]'s [[Thames river]]. That voyage demonstrated that LNG could be transported safely across the oceans. During the next 14 months, that same freighter delivered seven additional cargoes with only a few small problems.<ref name=CEE/><ref name=Nontech>{{cite book|author= Michael R. Tusiani and Gordon Shearer|title=LNG: A Nontechnical Guide| publisher-Pennwell Corp.|year=2007|pages= p.138|id=ISBN 0-87814-885-X}}</ref>
The lowest part of the troposphere is called the ''atmospheric boundary layer (ABL)'' or the ''planetary boundary layer (PBL)'' and extends from the Earth's surface up to about 1.5 to 2.0 km in height. The air temperature of the atmospheric boundary layer decreases with increasing altitude until it reaches what is called the ''inversion layer'' (where the temperature increases with increasing altitude) that caps the atmospheric boundary layer. The upper part of the troposphere (i.e., above the inversion layer) is called the ''free troposphere'' and it extends up to the 18 km height of the troposphere.


The demonstrated ability to transport LNG in sea-going vessels spurred the building of large-scale LNG liquefaction plants at major gas fields world-wide. The first large-scale LNG plant began operating in 1964 at [[Arzew, Algeria]] and initially produced about 2,360 metric tons/day (MT/day<ref name=MT/>) of LNG. In 1969, another LNG plant began operating near [[Kenai, Alaska]] and initially produced LNG at a rate of about 3,400 MT/day.<ref name=CEE/><ref name=Charter>[http://www.encharter.org/fileadmin/user_upload/document/LNG_2008_ENG.pdf Fostering LNG Trade: Role of the Energy Charter] 2008, Appendices A , C and E, from the website of the Energy Charter Secretariat.</ref>
The ABL is the most important layer with respect to the emission, transport and dispersion of airborne pollutants. The part of the ABL between the Earth's surface and the bottom of the inversion layer is known as the ''mixing layer''. Almost all of the airborne pollutants emitted into the ambient atmosphere are transported and dispersed within the mixing layer. Some of the emissions penetrate the inversion layer and enter the free troposphere above the ABL.


By mid-2008, there were 19 LNG liquefaction plants  operating in 15 countries worldwide. There were also 65 LNG receiving terminals (often referred to regasification terminals) operating in 19 countries world-wide.<ref name=Charter/>
In summary, the layers of the Earth's atmosphere from the surface of the ground upwards are: the ABL made up of the mixing layer capped by the inversion layer; the free troposphere; the stratosphere; the mesosphere and others. Many atmospheric dispersion models are referred to as ''boundary layer models'' because they mainly model air pollutant dispersion within the ABL. To avoid confusion, models referred to as ''mesoscale models'' have dispersion modeling capabilities that can extend horizontally as much as  a few hundred kilometres. It does not mean that they model dispersion in the mesosphere.


==LNG transportation==
==Gaussian air pollutant dispersion equation==
{{Image|LNG tanker Abuja.jpg|right|250px|LNG carrier with 5 spherical LNG tanks. Total length is 285 metres (311 yards).}}


As of 2008, a typical sea-going LNG carrier could transport about 150,000 m<sup>3</sup> (70,000 MT) of LNG, which will become about 92,000,000 standard  meters<ref>'''Note:''' Presumably , a standard cubic meter of gas is defined as gas at  reference conditions of  1 [[Atmosphere (unit)|atmosphere]] pressure  and a temperature of about 15 °C. However, most of the LNG technical literature does not explicitly define the reference conditions.</ref> natural gas when regasified in a receiving terminal. LNG carriers are similar in its size to an aircraft carrier and are very expensive to build and to operate. Therefore, they cannot afford to have idle time. They travel fast, at an average speed of 18 to 20 knots<ref>'''Note:''' 1 knot = 1 nautical mile/hour = 1.852 km/hour = 1.15 statute mile/hour = 6,076 feet/hour</ref>, as compared to 14 knots for a sea-going [[Petroleum crude oil|crude oil]] carrier. Also, loading at the LNG liquefaction plants and unloading at the receiving terminals usually requires only 15 hours as an average.
The technical literature on air pollution dispersion is quite extensive and dates back to the 1930s and earlier. One of the early air pollutant plume dispersion equations was derived by Bosanquet and Pearson.<ref>C.H. Bosanquet and J.L. Pearson, "The spread of smoke and gases from chimneys", ''Trans. Faraday Soc.'', 32:1249, 1936.</ref> Their equation did not assume Gaussian distribution nor did it include the effect of ground reflection of the pollutant plume.


All LNG carriers have a  double-hulled structure specially designed to prevent leakage or rupture in case of an accident. The cargo (LNG) is stored at atmospheric pressure and -162 ºC in specially insulated tanks (referred to as the "containment structure")  inside the inner hull. The cargo containment structure consists of a primary liquid tank, a layer of insulation, a secondary liquid barrier, and a secondary layer of insulation. Should there be any damage to the primary liquid tank, the purpose of the secondary barrier is to prevent leakage. All surfaces in contact with LNG are constructed of materials resistant to the extreme low temperature. Therefore, the material is typically stainless steel or aluminum or a nickel-iron alloy known as "invar".
Sir Graham Sutton derived an air pollutant plume dispersion equation in 1947<ref>O.G. Sutton, "The problem of diffusion in the lower atmosphere", ''QJRMS'', 73:257, 1947.</ref><ref>O.G. Sutton, "The theoretical distribution of airborne pollution from factory chimneys", ''QJRMS'', 73:426, 1947.</ref> which did include the assumption of Gaussian distribution for the vertical and crosswind dispersion of the plume and also included the effect of ground reflection of the plume.


About 57% of the worldwide LNG carrier fleet uses tanks, which are supported by and conform to the shape of carrier's hull, to contain the LNG cargo. Such carriers are commonly referred to as "membrane type" vessels. The other major type of LNG carrier, constituting about 41% of the worldwide fleet, uses self-supported spherical tanks  to contain the LNG, with the upper half of the spheres being above-deck as can be seen in Fig.2. Such  carriers are commonly referred to as "Moss type" vessels (named after the [[Norway|Norwegian]] company , Moss Maritime).  
Under the stimulus provided by the advent of stringent environmental control regulations, there was an immense growth in the use of air pollutant plume dispersion calculations between the late 1960s and today. A great many computer programs for calculating the dispersion of air pollutant emissions were developed during that period of time and they were commonly called "air dispersion models". The basis for most of those models was the '''Complete Equation For Gaussian Dispersion Modeling Of Continuous, Buoyant Air Pollution Plumes''' shown below:<ref name=Beychok>{{cite book|author=M.R. Beychok|title=Fundamentals Of Stack Gas Dispersion|edition=4th Edition| publisher=author-published|year=2005|isbn=0-9644588-0-2}}.</ref><ref>{{cite book|author=D. B. Turner| title=Workbook of atmospheric dispersion estimates: an introduction to dispersion modeling| edition=2nd Edition |publisher=CRC Press|year=1994|isbn=1-56670-023-X}}.</ref>


Most  LNG vessels use [[steam-turbines]] to provide propulsion power and those vessels use the gas that boils off from the cargo as fuel for generating [[steam]]. Therefore,  LNG carriers do not arrive at the destination port with the same LNG quantities as were loaded at the liquefaction plant. The accepted maximum figure for boil-off is about 0.15% of cargo volume a day . Thus, for a 20 day voyage,  the LNG cargo will have been reduced by about 3%.  Recent advances in technology allow the installation of plants on-board  the  vessels that can re-liquefy the boil-off,  which is then returned to the cargo tanks. Because of this, the builders and users of LNG carriers can now consider  the use of more efficient diesel engines rather than steam-turbines.


As of mid-2008, there were 247 LNG carriers in the worldwide fleet and the total capacity of the fleet was 30,800,000 cubic meters of LNG.<ref name=Charter/>  
<math>C = \frac{\;Q}{u}\cdot\frac{\;f}{\sigma_y\sqrt{2\pi}}\;\cdot\frac{\;g_1 + g_2 + g_3}{\sigma_z\sqrt{2\pi}}</math>


==LNG Terminals==
{| border="0" cellpadding="2"
{{Image|LNG Terminal.jpg|right|325px|LNG storage tanks in LNG terminal at Yokohama, Japan.}}
|-
|align=right|where:
|&nbsp;
|-
!align=right|<math>f</math> 
|align=left|= crosswind dispersion parameter
|-
!align=right|&nbsp;
|align=left|= <math>\exp\;[-\,y^2/\,(2\;\sigma_y^2\;)\;]</math>
|-
!align=right|<math>g</math>
|align=left|= vertical dispersion parameter = <math>\,g_1 + g_2 + g_3</math>
|-
!align=right|<math>g_1</math>
|align=left|= vertical dispersion with no reflections
|-
!align=right|&nbsp;
|align=left|= <math>\; \exp\;[-\,(z - H)^2/\,(2\;\sigma_z^2\;)\;]</math>
|-
!align=right|<math>g_2</math>
|align=left|= vertical dispersion for reflection from the ground
|-
!align=right|&nbsp;
|align=left|= <math>\;\exp\;[-\,(z + H)^2/\,(2\;\sigma_z^2\;)\;]</math>
|-
!align=right|<math>g_3</math>
|align=left|= vertical dispersion for reflection from an inversion aloft
|-
!align=right|&nbsp;
|align=left|= <math>\sum_{m=1}^\infty\;\big\{\exp\;[-\,(z - H - 2mL)^2/\,(2\;\sigma_z^2\;)\;]</math>
|-
!align=right|&nbsp;
|align=left|&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <math>+\, \exp\;[-\,(z + H + 2mL)^2/\,(2\;\sigma_z^2\;)\;]</math>
|-
!align=right|&nbsp;
|align=left|&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <math>+\, \exp\;[-\,(z + H - 2mL)^2/\,(2\;\sigma_z^2\;)\;]</math>
|-
!align=right|&nbsp;
|align=left|&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <math>+\, \exp\;[-\,(z - H + 2mL)^2/\,(2\;\sigma_z^2\;)\;]\big\}</math>
|-
!align=right|<math>C</math>
|align=left|= concentration of emissions, in g/m³, at any receptor located:
|-
!align=right|&nbsp;
|align=left|&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; x meters downwind from the emission source point
|-
!align=right|&nbsp;
|align=left|&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; y meters crosswind from the emission plume centerline
|-
!align=right|&nbsp;
|align=left|&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; z meters above ground level
|-
!align=right|<math>Q</math>
|align=left|= source pollutant emission rate, in g/s
|-
!align=right|<math>u</math>
|align=left|= horizontal wind velocity along the plume centerline, m/s
|-
!align=right|<math>H</math>
|align=left|= height of emission plume centerline above ground level, in m
|-
!align=right|<math>\sigma_z</math>
|align=left|= vertical standard deviation of the emission distribution, in m
|-
!align=right|<math>\sigma_y</math>
|align=left|= horizontal standard deviation of the emission distribution, in m
|-
!align=right|<math>L</math>
|align=left|= height from ground level to bottom of the inversion aloft, in m
|-
!align=right|<math>\exp</math>
|align=left|= the exponential function
|}


==Some Statistics==
The above equation not only includes upward reflection from the ground, it also includes downward reflection from the bottom of any inversion lid present in the atmosphere.


The sum of the four exponential terms in <math>g_3</math> converges to a final value quite rapidly. For most cases, the summation of the series with '''''m''''' = 1, '''''m''''' = 2 and '''''m''''' = 3 will provide an adequate solution.


==Conversion data==
<math>\sigma_z</math> and <math>\sigma_y</math> are functions of the atmospheric stability class (i.e., a measure of the turbulence in the ambient atmosphere) and of the downwind distance to the receptor. The two most important variables affecting the degree of pollutant emission dispersion obtained are the height of the emission source point and the degree of atmospheric turbulence. The more turbulence, the better the degree of dispersion.


Whereas older models rely on stability classes for the determination of <math>\sigma_y</math> and <math>\sigma_z</math>, more recent models increasingly rely on Monin-Obukhov similarity theory to derive these parameters.


==Briggs plume rise equations==


The Gaussian air pollutant dispersion equation (discussed above) requires the input of ''H'' which is the pollutant plume's centerline height above ground level. ''H'' is the sum of ''H''<sub>s</sub> (the actual physical height of the pollutant plume's emission source point) plus Δ''H'' (the plume rise due the plume's buoyancy).
[[File:Gaussian Plume.png|thumb|right|333px|Visualization of a buoyant Gaussian air pollutant dispersion plume]]
To determine Δ''H'', many if not most of the air dispersion models developed between the late 1960s and the early 2000s used what are known as "the Briggs equations." G.A. Briggs first published his plume rise observations and comparisons in 1965.<ref>G.A. Briggs, "A plume rise model compared with observations", ''JAPCA'', 15:433–438, 1965.</ref> In 1968, at a symposium sponsored by CONCAWE (a Dutch organization), he compared many of the plume rise models then available in the literature.<ref>G.A. Briggs, "CONCAWE meeting: discussion of the comparative consequences of different plume rise formulas", ''Atmos. Envir.'', 2:228–232, 1968.</ref> In that same year, Briggs also wrote the section of the publication edited by Slade<ref>D.H. Slade (editor), "Meteorology and atomic energy 1968", Air Resources Laboratory, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 1968.</ref> dealing with the comparative analyses of plume rise models.  That was followed in 1969 by his classical critical review of the entire plume rise literature,<ref>G.A. Briggs, "Plume Rise", ''USAEC Critical Review Series'', 1969.</ref> in which he proposed a set of plume rise equations which have become widely known as "the Briggs equations".  Subsequently, Briggs modified his 1969 plume rise equations in 1971 and in 1972.<ref>G.A. Briggs, "Some recent analyses of plume rise observation", ''Proc. Second Internat'l. Clean Air Congress'', Academic Press, New York, 1971.</ref><ref>G.A. Briggs, "Discussion: chimney plumes in neutral and stable surroundings", ''Atmos. Envir.'', 6:507–510, 1972.</ref>
Briggs divided air pollution plumes into these four general categories:
* Cold jet plumes in calm ambient air conditions
* Cold jet plumes in windy ambient air conditions
* Hot, buoyant plumes in calm ambient air conditions
* Hot, buoyant plumes in windy ambient air conditions
Briggs considered the trajectory of cold jet plumes to be dominated by their initial velocity momentum, and the trajectory of hot, buoyant plumes to be dominated by their buoyant momentum to the extent that their initial velocity momentum was relatively unimportant.  Although Briggs proposed plume rise equations for each of the above plume categories, '''''it is important to emphasize that "the Briggs equations" which become widely used are those that he proposed for bent-over, hot buoyant plumes'''''.
In general, Briggs's equations for bent-over, hot buoyant plumes are based on observations and data involving plumes from typical combustion sources such as the flue gas stacks from steam-generating boilers burning fossil fuels in large power plants.  Therefore the stack exit velocities were probably in the range of 20 to 100 ft/s (6 to 30 m/s) with exit temperatures ranging from 250 to 500 °F (120 to 260 °C).
A logic diagram for using the Briggs equations<ref name=Beychok/> to obtain the plume rise trajectory of bent-over buoyant plumes is presented below:
[[Image:BriggsLogic.png|none]]
:{| border="0" cellpadding="2"
|-
|align=right|where:
|&nbsp;
|-
!align=right| Δh
|align=left|= plume rise, in m
|-
!align=right| F<sup>&nbsp;</sup> <!-- The HTML is needed to line up characters. Do not remove.-->
|align=left|= buoyancy factor, in m<sup>4</sup>s<sup>−3</sup>
|-
!align=right| x
|align=left|= downwind distance from plume source, in m
|-
!align=right| x<sub>f</sub>
|align=left|= downwind distance from plume source to point of maximum plume rise, in m
|-
!align=right| u
|align=left|= windspeed at actual stack height, in m/s
|-
!align=right| s<sup>&nbsp;</sup> <!-- The HTML is needed to line up characters. Do not remove.-->
|align=left|= stability parameter, in s<sup>−2</sup>
|}
The above parameters used in the Briggs' equations are discussed in Beychok's book.<ref name=Beychok/>


==References==
==References==
{{reflist}}
{{reflist}}
== Further reading==
*{{cite book | author=M.R. Beychok| title=Fundamentals Of Stack Gas Dispersion | edition=4th Edition | publisher=author-published | year=2005 | isbn=0-9644588-0-2}}
*{{cite book | author=K.B. Schnelle and P.R. Dey| title=Atmospheric Dispersion Modeling Compliance Guide  | edition=1st Edition| publisher=McGraw-Hill Professional | year=1999 | isbn=0-07-058059-6}}
*{{cite book | author=D.B. Turner| title=Workbook of Atmospheric Dispersion Estimates: An Introduction to Dispersion Modeling | edition=2nd Edition | publisher=CRC Press | year=1994 | isbn=1-56670-023-X}}
*{{cite book | author= S.P. Arya| title=Air Pollution Meteorology and Dispersion | edition=1st Edition | publisher=Oxford University Press | year=1998 | isbn=0-19-507398-3}}
*{{cite book | author=R. Barrat| title=Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling | edition=1st Edition | publisher=Earthscan Publications | year=2001 | isbn=1-85383-642-7}}
*{{cite book | author=S.R. Hanna and R.E. Britter| title=Wind Flow and Vapor Cloud Dispersion at Industrial and Urban Sites  | edition=1st Edition | publisher=Wiley-American Institute of Chemical Engineers | year=2002 | isbn=0-8169-0863-X}}
*{{cite book | author=P. Zannetti| title=Air pollution modeling : theories, computational methods, and available software | edition= | publisher= Van Nostrand Reinhold | year=1990 | isbn=0-442-30805-1 }}

Latest revision as of 03:25, 22 November 2023


The account of this former contributor was not re-activated after the server upgrade of March 2022.


Industrial air pollution source

Atmospheric dispersion modeling is the mathematical simulation of how air pollutants disperse in the ambient atmosphere. It is performed with computer programs that solve the mathematical equations and algorithms which simulate the pollutant dispersion. The dispersion models are used to estimate or to predict the downwind concentration of air pollutants emitted from sources such as industrial plants, vehicular traffic or accidental chemical releases.

Such models are important to governmental agencies tasked with protecting and managing the ambient air quality. The models are typically employed to determine whether existing or proposed new industrial facilities are or will be in compliance with the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) in the United States or similar regulations in other nations. The models also serve to assist in the design of effective control strategies to reduce emissions of harmful air pollutants. During the late 1960's, the Air Pollution Control Office of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) initiated research projects to develop models for use by urban and transportation planners.[1]

Air dispersion models are also used by emergency management personnel to develop emergency plans for accidental chemical releases. The results of dispersion modeling, using worst case accidental releases and meteorological conditions, can provide estimated locations of impacted areas and be used to determine appropriate protective actions. At industrial facilities in the United States, this type of consequence assessment or emergency planning is required under the Clean Air Act (CAA) codified in Part 68 of Title 40 of the Code of Federal Regulations.

The dispersion models vary depending on the mathematics used to develop the model, but all require the input of data that may include:

  • Meteorological conditions such as wind speed and direction, the amount of atmospheric turbulence (as characterized by what is called the "stability class"), the ambient air temperature, the height to the bottom of any inversion aloft that may be present, cloud cover and solar radiation.
  • The emission parameters such the type of source (i.e., point, line or area), the mass flow rate, the source location and height, the source exit velocity, and the source exit temperature.
  • Terrain elevations at the source location and at receptor locations, such as nearby homes, schools, businesses and hospitals.
  • The location, height and width of any obstructions (such as buildings or other structures) in the path of the emitted gaseous plume as well as the terrain surface roughness (which may be characterized by the more generic parameters "rural" or "city" terrain).

Many of the modern, advanced dispersion modeling programs include a pre-processor module for the input of meteorological and other data, and many also include a post-processor module for graphing the output data and/or plotting the area impacted by the air pollutants on maps. The plots of areas impacted usually include isopleths showing areas of pollutant concentrations that define areas of the highest health risk. The isopleths plots are useful in determining protective actions for the public and first responders.

The atmospheric dispersion models are also known as atmospheric diffusion models, air dispersion models, air quality models, and air pollution dispersion models.

Atmospheric layers

Discussion of the layers in the Earth's atmosphere is needed to understand where airborne pollutants disperse in the atmosphere. The layer closest to the Earth's surface is known as the troposphere. It extends from sea-level up to a height of about 18 km and contains about 80 percent of the mass of the overall atmosphere. The stratosphere is the next layer and extends from 18 km up to about 50 km. The third layer is the mesosphere which extends from 50 km up to about 80 km. There are other layers above 80 km, but they are insignificant with respect to atmospheric dispersion modeling.

The lowest part of the troposphere is called the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) or the planetary boundary layer (PBL) and extends from the Earth's surface up to about 1.5 to 2.0 km in height. The air temperature of the atmospheric boundary layer decreases with increasing altitude until it reaches what is called the inversion layer (where the temperature increases with increasing altitude) that caps the atmospheric boundary layer. The upper part of the troposphere (i.e., above the inversion layer) is called the free troposphere and it extends up to the 18 km height of the troposphere.

The ABL is the most important layer with respect to the emission, transport and dispersion of airborne pollutants. The part of the ABL between the Earth's surface and the bottom of the inversion layer is known as the mixing layer. Almost all of the airborne pollutants emitted into the ambient atmosphere are transported and dispersed within the mixing layer. Some of the emissions penetrate the inversion layer and enter the free troposphere above the ABL.

In summary, the layers of the Earth's atmosphere from the surface of the ground upwards are: the ABL made up of the mixing layer capped by the inversion layer; the free troposphere; the stratosphere; the mesosphere and others. Many atmospheric dispersion models are referred to as boundary layer models because they mainly model air pollutant dispersion within the ABL. To avoid confusion, models referred to as mesoscale models have dispersion modeling capabilities that can extend horizontally as much as a few hundred kilometres. It does not mean that they model dispersion in the mesosphere.

Gaussian air pollutant dispersion equation

The technical literature on air pollution dispersion is quite extensive and dates back to the 1930s and earlier. One of the early air pollutant plume dispersion equations was derived by Bosanquet and Pearson.[2] Their equation did not assume Gaussian distribution nor did it include the effect of ground reflection of the pollutant plume.

Sir Graham Sutton derived an air pollutant plume dispersion equation in 1947[3][4] which did include the assumption of Gaussian distribution for the vertical and crosswind dispersion of the plume and also included the effect of ground reflection of the plume.

Under the stimulus provided by the advent of stringent environmental control regulations, there was an immense growth in the use of air pollutant plume dispersion calculations between the late 1960s and today. A great many computer programs for calculating the dispersion of air pollutant emissions were developed during that period of time and they were commonly called "air dispersion models". The basis for most of those models was the Complete Equation For Gaussian Dispersion Modeling Of Continuous, Buoyant Air Pollution Plumes shown below:[5][6]


where:  
= crosswind dispersion parameter
  =
= vertical dispersion parameter =
= vertical dispersion with no reflections
  =
= vertical dispersion for reflection from the ground
  =
= vertical dispersion for reflection from an inversion aloft
  =
           
           
           
= concentration of emissions, in g/m³, at any receptor located:
            x meters downwind from the emission source point
            y meters crosswind from the emission plume centerline
            z meters above ground level
= source pollutant emission rate, in g/s
= horizontal wind velocity along the plume centerline, m/s
= height of emission plume centerline above ground level, in m
= vertical standard deviation of the emission distribution, in m
= horizontal standard deviation of the emission distribution, in m
= height from ground level to bottom of the inversion aloft, in m
= the exponential function

The above equation not only includes upward reflection from the ground, it also includes downward reflection from the bottom of any inversion lid present in the atmosphere.

The sum of the four exponential terms in converges to a final value quite rapidly. For most cases, the summation of the series with m = 1, m = 2 and m = 3 will provide an adequate solution.

and are functions of the atmospheric stability class (i.e., a measure of the turbulence in the ambient atmosphere) and of the downwind distance to the receptor. The two most important variables affecting the degree of pollutant emission dispersion obtained are the height of the emission source point and the degree of atmospheric turbulence. The more turbulence, the better the degree of dispersion.

Whereas older models rely on stability classes for the determination of and , more recent models increasingly rely on Monin-Obukhov similarity theory to derive these parameters.

Briggs plume rise equations

The Gaussian air pollutant dispersion equation (discussed above) requires the input of H which is the pollutant plume's centerline height above ground level. H is the sum of Hs (the actual physical height of the pollutant plume's emission source point) plus ΔH (the plume rise due the plume's buoyancy).

Visualization of a buoyant Gaussian air pollutant dispersion plume

To determine ΔH, many if not most of the air dispersion models developed between the late 1960s and the early 2000s used what are known as "the Briggs equations." G.A. Briggs first published his plume rise observations and comparisons in 1965.[7] In 1968, at a symposium sponsored by CONCAWE (a Dutch organization), he compared many of the plume rise models then available in the literature.[8] In that same year, Briggs also wrote the section of the publication edited by Slade[9] dealing with the comparative analyses of plume rise models. That was followed in 1969 by his classical critical review of the entire plume rise literature,[10] in which he proposed a set of plume rise equations which have become widely known as "the Briggs equations". Subsequently, Briggs modified his 1969 plume rise equations in 1971 and in 1972.[11][12]

Briggs divided air pollution plumes into these four general categories:

  • Cold jet plumes in calm ambient air conditions
  • Cold jet plumes in windy ambient air conditions
  • Hot, buoyant plumes in calm ambient air conditions
  • Hot, buoyant plumes in windy ambient air conditions

Briggs considered the trajectory of cold jet plumes to be dominated by their initial velocity momentum, and the trajectory of hot, buoyant plumes to be dominated by their buoyant momentum to the extent that their initial velocity momentum was relatively unimportant. Although Briggs proposed plume rise equations for each of the above plume categories, it is important to emphasize that "the Briggs equations" which become widely used are those that he proposed for bent-over, hot buoyant plumes.

In general, Briggs's equations for bent-over, hot buoyant plumes are based on observations and data involving plumes from typical combustion sources such as the flue gas stacks from steam-generating boilers burning fossil fuels in large power plants. Therefore the stack exit velocities were probably in the range of 20 to 100 ft/s (6 to 30 m/s) with exit temperatures ranging from 250 to 500 °F (120 to 260 °C).

A logic diagram for using the Briggs equations[5] to obtain the plume rise trajectory of bent-over buoyant plumes is presented below:

BriggsLogic.png
where:  
Δh = plume rise, in m
F  = buoyancy factor, in m4s−3
x = downwind distance from plume source, in m
xf = downwind distance from plume source to point of maximum plume rise, in m
u = windspeed at actual stack height, in m/s
s  = stability parameter, in s−2

The above parameters used in the Briggs' equations are discussed in Beychok's book.[5]

References

  1. J.C. Fensterstock et al, "Reduction of air pollution potential through environmental planning", JAPCA, Vol. 21, No. 7, 1971.
  2. C.H. Bosanquet and J.L. Pearson, "The spread of smoke and gases from chimneys", Trans. Faraday Soc., 32:1249, 1936.
  3. O.G. Sutton, "The problem of diffusion in the lower atmosphere", QJRMS, 73:257, 1947.
  4. O.G. Sutton, "The theoretical distribution of airborne pollution from factory chimneys", QJRMS, 73:426, 1947.
  5. 5.0 5.1 5.2 M.R. Beychok (2005). Fundamentals Of Stack Gas Dispersion, 4th Edition. author-published. ISBN 0-9644588-0-2. .
  6. D. B. Turner (1994). Workbook of atmospheric dispersion estimates: an introduction to dispersion modeling, 2nd Edition. CRC Press. ISBN 1-56670-023-X. .
  7. G.A. Briggs, "A plume rise model compared with observations", JAPCA, 15:433–438, 1965.
  8. G.A. Briggs, "CONCAWE meeting: discussion of the comparative consequences of different plume rise formulas", Atmos. Envir., 2:228–232, 1968.
  9. D.H. Slade (editor), "Meteorology and atomic energy 1968", Air Resources Laboratory, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 1968.
  10. G.A. Briggs, "Plume Rise", USAEC Critical Review Series, 1969.
  11. G.A. Briggs, "Some recent analyses of plume rise observation", Proc. Second Internat'l. Clean Air Congress, Academic Press, New York, 1971.
  12. G.A. Briggs, "Discussion: chimney plumes in neutral and stable surroundings", Atmos. Envir., 6:507–510, 1972.

Further reading

  • M.R. Beychok (2005). Fundamentals Of Stack Gas Dispersion, 4th Edition. author-published. ISBN 0-9644588-0-2. 
  • K.B. Schnelle and P.R. Dey (1999). Atmospheric Dispersion Modeling Compliance Guide, 1st Edition. McGraw-Hill Professional. ISBN 0-07-058059-6. 
  • D.B. Turner (1994). Workbook of Atmospheric Dispersion Estimates: An Introduction to Dispersion Modeling, 2nd Edition. CRC Press. ISBN 1-56670-023-X. 
  • S.P. Arya (1998). Air Pollution Meteorology and Dispersion, 1st Edition. Oxford University Press. ISBN 0-19-507398-3. 
  • R. Barrat (2001). Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling, 1st Edition. Earthscan Publications. ISBN 1-85383-642-7. 
  • S.R. Hanna and R.E. Britter (2002). Wind Flow and Vapor Cloud Dispersion at Industrial and Urban Sites, 1st Edition. Wiley-American Institute of Chemical Engineers. ISBN 0-8169-0863-X. 
  • P. Zannetti (1990). Air pollution modeling : theories, computational methods, and available software. Van Nostrand Reinhold. ISBN 0-442-30805-1.