Poisson distribution: Difference between revisions

From Citizendium
Jump to navigation Jump to search
imported>Ragnar Schroder
(→‎Example: added one, not very good)
mNo edit summary
 
(8 intermediate revisions by 6 users not shown)
Line 1: Line 1:
The '''poisson distribution''' is a class of [[discrete probability distribution|discrete probability distributions]].
{{subpages}}
 
The '''Poisson distribution''' is any member of a class of [[discrete probability distribution|discrete probability distributions]] named after [[Simeon Denis Poisson]].
It's well suited for modeling various physical phenomena.


It is well suited for modeling various physical phenomena.


==A basic introduction to the concept==
==A basic introduction to the concept==
A basic intro aimed for the general public here.
<!-- A basic intro aimed for the general public here. -->


===Example===
===Example===
A certain event happens at unpredictable intervals.  But for some reason, no matter how recent or long ago last time was, the probability that it will occur again within the next hour is exactly 10%.
Certain events happen at unpredictable intervals.  But for some reason, no matter how recent or long ago last event was, the probability that another event will occur within the next hour is exactly the same (say, 10%). The same holds for any other time interval (say, second). Moreover, the number of events within any given time interval is statistically independent of numbers of events in other intervals that do not overlap the given interval. Also, two events never occur simultaneously.


Then the number of events per day is Poisson distributed.
Then the number of events per day is Poisson distributed.


===Formal definition===
===Formal definition===
Let X be a stochastic variable taking non-negative integer values with [[probability density function]] <math>P(X=k)=f(k)= e^{-\lambda} \frac{\lambda ^k}{k!} </math>Then X follows the Poisson distribution with parameter <math>\lambda</math>.
Let X be a stochastic variable taking non-negative integer values with [[probability density function]]
 
: <math> P(X=k)=f(k)= e^{-\lambda} \frac{\lambda ^k}{k!}. </math>
Then X follows the Poisson distribution with parameter <math>\lambda</math>.


==References==
===Characteristics of the Poisson distribution===
If X is a Poisson distribution stochastic variable with parameter <math>\lambda</math>, then
*The [[expected value]] <math>E[X]=\lambda</math>
*The [[variance]] <math>Var[X]=\lambda</math>
<!-- *The entropy <math>H=</math> -->


==See also==
==See also==
*[[Binomial distribution]]
*[[Exponential distribution]]
*[[Probability distribution]]
*[[Probability distribution]]
*[[Probability]]
*[[Probability]]
*[[Probability theory]]
*[[Probability theory]]


==Related topics==
==References==
*[[Exponential distribution]]
{{reflist}}[[Category:Suggestion Bot Tag]]
 
==External links==
*[http://mathworld.wolfram.com/PoissonDistribution.html mathworld]

Latest revision as of 11:00, 5 October 2024

This article is a stub and thus not approved.
Main Article
Discussion
Related Articles  [?]
Bibliography  [?]
External Links  [?]
Citable Version  [?]
 
This editable Main Article is under development and subject to a disclaimer.

The Poisson distribution is any member of a class of discrete probability distributions named after Simeon Denis Poisson.

It is well suited for modeling various physical phenomena.

A basic introduction to the concept

Example

Certain events happen at unpredictable intervals. But for some reason, no matter how recent or long ago last event was, the probability that another event will occur within the next hour is exactly the same (say, 10%). The same holds for any other time interval (say, second). Moreover, the number of events within any given time interval is statistically independent of numbers of events in other intervals that do not overlap the given interval. Also, two events never occur simultaneously.

Then the number of events per day is Poisson distributed.

Formal definition

Let X be a stochastic variable taking non-negative integer values with probability density function

Then X follows the Poisson distribution with parameter .

Characteristics of the Poisson distribution

If X is a Poisson distribution stochastic variable with parameter , then

  • The expected value
  • The variance

See also

References