Recession of 2009: Difference between revisions

From Citizendium
Jump to navigation Jump to search
imported>Nick Gardner
imported>Nick Gardner
No edit summary
Line 1: Line 1:
===United Kingdom===
===United Kingdom===
The rapid growth of the British economy in the early years of the 21st century had been partly due to the success of its comparatively large financial sector and to the development of a  comparatively vigorous housing boom, and those factors had a strong influence upon the impact of the recession that followed the collapse of the Lehman Brothers bank in the United States. Even before that collapse, some of its banks had been forced to make large writedowns because of their involvement in the [[subprime mortgages crisis]] and there had been a run on one of them <ref>[http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/6996136.stm ''Rush on Northern Rock Continues'', BBC News 17 September 2007]</ref>, but the ''banking panic'' that followed the fall of Lehman Brothers, threatened the continued existence of the financial system. In October 2008  the British Government announced a £500 billion rescue scheme <ref>[http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7658277.stm Rescue Plan for UK Banks Unveiled, BBC News 8 October 2008]</ref>,  including powers to take equity stakes in ailing banks and an undertaking to guarantee interbank loans. An impending collapse of the UK's financial system was averted, but the surviving banks adopted a policy  of ''deleveraging'' that resulted in a severe ''credit crunch'' followed by a general economic downturn. In the second half of 2008  gdp fell by 2.2  per cent  with falls in financial sector output and  in  housing  and commercial investment.  The effective exchange rate fell by about 20 per cent  during  2008,  but its effect was more than offset by falling overseas demand, and there was also a fall in  exports.  Early fiscal and monetary  action was taken to tackle  the growing recession . A  ''fiscal stimulus''  amounting to 1.4 per cent of GDP was introduced by  the November Pre-Budget Report, including a temporary 2.5 percentage point reduction in value-added tax and a bringing forward of £3 billion of capital investment, and by March 2009 the Bank of England  had reduced its  the bank rate  from 5% to 0.5% and begun a programme of  ''quantitative easing''.  The UK’s [[national debt]] had been  comparatively  low at the outset of the recession<ref> See paragraph 3.4 of the [[/Tutorials|tutorials subpage]]</ref>, but there has since been a  large increase in the ''budget deficit'', which is expected to rise to over 9 per cent of  gdp by the end of 2009, mainly as result of the operation of ''automatic stabilisers''.
The rapid growth of the British economy in the early years of the 21st century had been partly due to the success of its comparatively large financial sector and to the development of a  comparatively vigorous housing boom, and those factors had a strong influence upon the impact of the recession that followed the collapse of the Lehman Brothers bank in the United States. Even before that collapse, some of its banks had been forced to make large writedowns because of their involvement in the [[subprime mortgages crisis]] and there had been a run on one of them <ref>[http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/6996136.stm ''Rush on Northern Rock Continues'', BBC News 17 September 2007]</ref>, but the ''banking panic'' that followed the fall of Lehman Brothers, threatened the continued existence of the financial system. In October 2008  the British Government announced a £500 billion rescue scheme <ref>[http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7658277.stm Rescue Plan for UK Banks Unveiled, BBC News 8 October 2008]</ref>,  including powers to take equity stakes in ailing banks and an undertaking to guarantee interbank loans. An impending collapse of the UK's financial system was averted, but the surviving banks adopted a policy  of ''deleveraging'' that resulted in a severe ''credit crunch'' followed by a general economic downturn. In the second half of 2008  gdp fell by 2.2  per cent  with falls in financial sector output and  in  housing  and commercial investment.  The effective exchange rate fell by about 20 per cent  during  2008,  but its effect was more than offset by falling overseas demand, and there was also a fall in  exports.  Early fiscal and monetary  action was taken to tackle  the growing recession . A  ''fiscal stimulus''  amounting to 1.4 per cent of GDP was introduced by  the November Pre-Budget Report, including a temporary 2.5 percentage point reduction in value-added tax and a bringing forward of £3 billion of capital investment, and by March 2009 the Bank of England  had reduced its  the bank rate  from 5% to 0.5% and begun a programme of  ''quantitative easing''.  The UK’s [[national debt]] had been  comparatively  low at the outset of the recession<ref> See paragraph 3.4 of the [[/Tutorials|tutorials subpage]]</ref>, but there has since been a  large increase in the ''budget deficit'', which is expected to rise to over 9 per cent of  gdp by the end of 2009, mainly as result of the operation of ''automatic stabilisers''. The reduction in value-added tax appears to have had an early effect upon retail sales.
The government's policy was endorsed by the IMF, <ref> Statement by the Deputy Managing Director of the IMF that ...''we are confident that the measures being taken... will strengthen the economy... ''[http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/economics/article5627450.ece]</ref>  but was attacked by domestic critics<ref>[http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/politics/conservative/georgeosborne/3275207/George-Osborne-Slash-interest-rates-to-drag-Britain-out-of-economic-nosedive.html George Osborne, as reported in the Daily Telegraph 14 December 2008]</ref> and (at first <ref> The German government subsequently introduced a larger fiscal stimulus - see paragraph 3.3 of the [[/Tutorials|tutorials subpage]]</ref>) by members of other European governments  
The government's policy was endorsed by the IMF, <ref> Statement by the Deputy Managing Director of the IMF that ...''we are confident that the measures being taken... will strengthen the economy... ''[http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/economics/article5627450.ece]</ref>  but was attacked by domestic critics<ref>[http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/politics/conservative/georgeosborne/3275207/George-Osborne-Slash-interest-rates-to-drag-Britain-out-of-economic-nosedive.html George Osborne, as reported in the Daily Telegraph 14 December 2008]</ref> and (at first <ref> The German government subsequently introduced a larger fiscal stimulus - see paragraph 3.3 of the [[/Tutorials|tutorials subpage]]</ref>) by members of other European governments  
<ref>[http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7776718.stm ''Germany Questions UK Rescue Plan'',  BBC News 11th December 2008]</ref>.
<ref>[http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7776718.stm ''Germany Questions UK Rescue Plan'',  BBC News 11th December 2008]</ref>.

Revision as of 15:42, 13 May 2009

United Kingdom

The rapid growth of the British economy in the early years of the 21st century had been partly due to the success of its comparatively large financial sector and to the development of a comparatively vigorous housing boom, and those factors had a strong influence upon the impact of the recession that followed the collapse of the Lehman Brothers bank in the United States. Even before that collapse, some of its banks had been forced to make large writedowns because of their involvement in the subprime mortgages crisis and there had been a run on one of them [1], but the banking panic that followed the fall of Lehman Brothers, threatened the continued existence of the financial system. In October 2008 the British Government announced a £500 billion rescue scheme [2], including powers to take equity stakes in ailing banks and an undertaking to guarantee interbank loans. An impending collapse of the UK's financial system was averted, but the surviving banks adopted a policy of deleveraging that resulted in a severe credit crunch followed by a general economic downturn. In the second half of 2008 gdp fell by 2.2 per cent with falls in financial sector output and in housing and commercial investment. The effective exchange rate fell by about 20 per cent during 2008, but its effect was more than offset by falling overseas demand, and there was also a fall in exports. Early fiscal and monetary action was taken to tackle the growing recession . A fiscal stimulus amounting to 1.4 per cent of GDP was introduced by the November Pre-Budget Report, including a temporary 2.5 percentage point reduction in value-added tax and a bringing forward of £3 billion of capital investment, and by March 2009 the Bank of England had reduced its the bank rate from 5% to 0.5% and begun a programme of quantitative easing. The UK’s national debt had been comparatively low at the outset of the recession[3], but there has since been a large increase in the budget deficit, which is expected to rise to over 9 per cent of gdp by the end of 2009, mainly as result of the operation of automatic stabilisers. The reduction in value-added tax appears to have had an early effect upon retail sales. The government's policy was endorsed by the IMF, [4] but was attacked by domestic critics[5] and (at first [6]) by members of other European governments [7].

  1. Rush on Northern Rock Continues, BBC News 17 September 2007
  2. Rescue Plan for UK Banks Unveiled, BBC News 8 October 2008
  3. See paragraph 3.4 of the tutorials subpage
  4. Statement by the Deputy Managing Director of the IMF that ...we are confident that the measures being taken... will strengthen the economy... [1]
  5. George Osborne, as reported in the Daily Telegraph 14 December 2008
  6. The German government subsequently introduced a larger fiscal stimulus - see paragraph 3.3 of the tutorials subpage
  7. Germany Questions UK Rescue Plan, BBC News 11th December 2008